A few weeks ago, my friend and former colleague Sean Carroll was a guest on the Colbert Report to promote his book about the nature of time. Toward the end of the interview, they discussed the idea of the "multiverse", which Sean uses to refer to the (possibly) infinite number of "universe-sized" regions within the vast web of space and time where we live. The notion is that if we could somehow travel far enough (faster than light) to regions many times more distant than our telescopes can see, we could find countless independent "universes" that can never talk to each other at all. Some of them would be much like our own but others could be very different, maybe even with different laws of physics. Steven Colbert seemed quite interested:
Colbert: Am I in these other universes?
Carroll: There will be people very much like you.
Colbert: In these other universes, is it possible that my show's on at 11 and John Stewart is at 11:30?
Carroll: Maybe more often!
It's a cute exchange, and it's a variant on the old idea that "in an infinitely big universe, everything that could possibly happen must happen somewhere."
Trouble is, I don't know that I buy that argument, for rather subtle reasons. However we define them, the number of "independent universe-sized regions" of space and time is countably infinite: we could in principle come up with some way of labeling each one by an integer. But many sets (like the real numbers) are uncountably infinite: no matter how you try to label each real number by an integer, you'll miss the vast majority of them. The real numbers are just a much bigger infinity than the integers are. Going on, the set of all possible curves in space is a yet larger infinity. (Assuming space and time are continuous! If they turn out to be discrete, then the set of curves has the same infinite size as the real numbers.)
The thing is, the set of "everything that could possibly happen" is a lot more like the set of all curves than like the set of integers: if anything, it's a still larger infinity. So no matter how large our multiverse may be, it's mathematically impossible for every possible history to occur somewhere. Does that mean that our Steven Colbert (on at 11:30) is the only one? Quite possibly so. I'm not convinced that the multiverse idea opens up as many possibilities as people sometimes think.
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Oh, constructivism. :P I wouldn't be entirely surprised if physics (or most of it) could get by with just the rationals. For that matter, if at some point space and time turned out to be quantized in a fundamental sense, there might well exist a manifestly countable basis for the space of wavefunctions. But reality certainly feels like R^{3,1} to me... even if that is just years of indoctrination talking. (I like my limits to exist...)
I'm not sure I entirely see the connection between your comment "in terms of limits" and the issues that I'm considering here, but it's possible that we're just paying attention to different aspects of the question.
I'm reluctant to apply much in the way of intuitive reasoning to this sort of problem, though: Human intuition is pretty bad at dealing with rare events (thus the popularity of things like lottery tickets), and this sort of problem really isn't any easier.
I think this one is even less intuitive: at least with lottery tickets we've got some sort of experience dealing with large numbers. Dealing with infinity (and worse, different cardinalities of infinity) is entirely divorced from our intuitive sense. But it really was the nagging suspicion that "the set of all possible histories" might be of much higher cardinality than the integers that got me thinking about this. I'm honestly not sure what that cardinality might be: anything between the reals and goodness knows what. (And as noted, it's even possible that a correct quantum treatment could make the whole thing countable after all.)
As an aside, the set of continuous curves in space is only the same size as the real numbers.
That's a handy fact. Thanks! (I hadn't heard it before, but it feels quite plausible now that I have.)
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Though to be honest, my original thought was actually just that the space-time manifold would be Q^{3,1} rather than R^{3,1}; I hadn't followed that up in my head to conclude that the whole formalism would have to be based only on rationals. I'm still not sure.
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However, that's far from the only mathematical tool for dealing with inifinities: Ordinals are often more useful than cardinals, for example. I can make a meaningful claim that a third of the positive integers are divisible by 3, but the cardinal infitities (countable, uncountable: reals, uncountable: real functions, ???) aren't useful in discussing that. It's more a formal claim that in the limit as n goes to infinity, (whole numbers <= n divisible by 3)/(whole numbers <= n) is arbitrarily close to 1/3. I think Sean Carroll's "Maybe more often!" has to be taken in a sense like that.
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I see what you mean about limits now. I guess my original point was at a lower level than such arguments: I was objecting to the suggestion that in an infinite multiverse there would likely be other near-copies of Steven Colbert in the first place (not to the likelihood of their time slots). As noted, the complexity of the history of the universe that produced our Colbert feels to me like it's likely to be much "bigger" than the number of independent chunks in an infinite universe.
So is the set of all quantum histories a separable space, or is it too big for that? If it's not separable, then there's no point arguing what fraction of the Colberts are on at 11, because the odds of having more than one of him are essentially zero anyway.
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So, if you really think there are an infinite number of universe-like regions, and some object of interest is possible, I don't see how to avoid the conclusion that it shows up an infinite number of times. (Infinity times a positive real number is still infinite.)
I'll happily accept that that's not useful, but still...
(Oh, and I do think quantum histories are separable, but maybe I need to learn more quantum to be sure, or even be convinced that it matters.)
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